NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6ccb33a4fa10f0ed7fd6e347dce7e9c2e68006b78f71d9c2c0e40c1e62811a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe9…1113backed Blackhawks | 31c | 156,794$49,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,470.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 69c | 41,684$28,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,761.62 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 68c | 36,718$25,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,085.34 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 28c | 30,990$8,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,446.55 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks | 29c | 30,765$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,989.13 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Capitals | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,599.85 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 69c | 19,685$13,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,569.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 69c | 17,566$12,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 13,734$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,871.67 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 65c | 12,039$7,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.48 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Capitals | 68c | 9,450$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,426 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blackhawks | 77c | 8,403$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 70c | 7,662$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 70c | 7,404$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.22 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 49c | 7,148$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.53 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 72c | 7,000$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.32 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blackhawks | 30c | 6,949$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.38 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 68c | 6,843$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.38 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Blackhawks | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Capitals | 72c | 5,625$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 45c | 5,088$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.75 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks | 50c | 5,044$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 72c | 4,296$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.12 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Blackhawks | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Capitals | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 68c | 4,000$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Capitals | 68c | 3,991$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Blackhawks | 28c | 3,885$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Capitals | 68c | 3,692$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.56 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 61c | 3,672$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blackhawks | 44c | 3,275$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.82 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Blackhawks | 31c | 3,229$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.13 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Blackhawks | 61c | 3,143$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.88 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Capitals | 68c | 3,106$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.08 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Capitals | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Capitals | 71c | 2,956$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 2,925$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.5 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Blackhawks | 70c | 2,860$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.33 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Capitals | 73c | 2,812$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,775$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.72 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks | 28c | 2,626$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.07 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 69c | 2,611$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…d44cbacked Capitals | 65c | 2,550$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…c5dbbacked Capitals | 72c | 2,534$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 70c | 2,530$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Capitals | 72c | 2,528$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.44 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 69c | 2,519$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Capitals | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 46c | 2,450$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 71c | 2,327$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 69c | 2,283$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.06 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Capitals | 72c | 2,118$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Capitals | 73c | 2,100$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Capitals | 60c | 1,890$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.55 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,888$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.8 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Capitals | 57c | 1,809$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Capitals | 57c | 1,792$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.74 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 35c | 1,790$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Capitals | 9c | 1,700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,660$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.93 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 69c | 1,589$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.84 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 50c | 1,579$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.45 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Capitals | 71c | 1,476$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Capitals | 72c | 1,456$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Capitals | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Capitals | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,292$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.8 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked Capitals | 1c | 1,281$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 69c | 1,248$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.06 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Capitals | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Capitals | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 72c | 1,188$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.48 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Capitals | 72c | 1,180$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Capitals | 72c | 1,086$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 69c | 1,033$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.77 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 1,002$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Capitals | 72c | 993.31$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.18 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Capitals | 43c | 960$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Blackhawks | 69c | 958.33$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 45c | 941.43$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.56 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 47c | 911.08$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Capitals | 71c | 878.75$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.64 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Capitals | 72c | 875$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 862$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 835$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Blackhawks | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Capitals | 42c | 721$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Capitals | 71c | 654.41$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.54 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Blackhawks | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 70c | 644.83$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.44 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…7f12backed Capitals | 70c | 630$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 71c | 626.76$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 614.47$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…25ccbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 603.7$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blackhawks | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Capitals | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Capitals | 3c | 594.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 70c | 593.96$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Capitalsthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.