Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07eeffc447345c78121d5b9c3b6ce18d83b04af7cf730a0d6970b8e1b712904f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 6,035$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 47c | 5,874$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.4 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 999.83$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.92 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 847$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 54c | 370$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 329.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 305.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 59c | 267.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 261.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 251.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 13c | 239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 23c | 116$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 98.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 51c | 87.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked No | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 23c | 73.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a4…e909backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 18.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.