Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8db30fc62e69e25ae93f65440ff56fcdd876ae2a71a053381be6ec47e6f8453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 54c | 4,612$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 1,568$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,560$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 46c | 625$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 432.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 278.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 171$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 49c | 152.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 27c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 51.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.