Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a4a848c88e458c2e31279c71e1eabc68303196b3ce532067337e9ec6fb948e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 73c | 19,627$14,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 8,612$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 4,359$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 4,316$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 4,088$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.08 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 12c | 2,166$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 10c | 2,088$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 69c | 793.01$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.37 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 457.35$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 29c | 392.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 74c | 373.42$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 338$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 74c | 271.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 33c | 228.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 5c | 227.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 31c | 149.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 27c | 102.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked Yes | 70c | 93.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -16.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 20c | 83.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 27c | 61.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 28c | 60.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 29c | 55.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 32c | 38.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 29c | 36.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Yes | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked Yes | 74c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.