Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f96dd8e0cf22f3349bfa8e1c0ae6c9d33d4748f18cd2b9e971380c47cc9707b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,221$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 351.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 129.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 118$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 19c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.