NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d486b2104604f72db8e2164715ec79d81e19b604ea423b74435d425fc8986a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $789,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $824,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe9…1113backed Canadiens | 37c | 308,289$113,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,369.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Stars | 63c | 225,000$141,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,750 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Stars | 36c | 200,811$72,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,228.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 64c | 167,163$106,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,262.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 63c | 48,411$30,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,498.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 63c | 25,687$16,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,309.33 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 63c | 17,324$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Canadiens | 37c | 14,831$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.25 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 63c | 14,103$8,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,864.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 12,734$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.48 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Canadiens | 64c | 12,707$8,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.7 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 35c | 12,245$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.83 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 47c | 11,606$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.19 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 63c | 9,802$6,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Canadiens | 37c | 9,459$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.46 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Stars | 67c | 9,284$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Canadiens | 38c | 8,431$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.09 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Stars | 63c | 7,459$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Canadiens | 62c | 6,297$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.36 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,775$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.19 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 38c | 5,327$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.95 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.94 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 5,000$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.66 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Stars | 63c | 4,620$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.99 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Stars | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 62c | 4,161$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.1 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Stars | 1c | 4,031$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canadiens | 37c | 4,013$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 62c | 3,966$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.92 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,842$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.11 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 62c | 3,732$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.16 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 40c | 3,727$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.47 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Stars | 54c | 3,580$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 62c | 3,554$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Stars | 62c | 3,125$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.74 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Canadiens | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stars | 62c | 2,977$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.16 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 63c | 2,821$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.13 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 60c | 2,510$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 64c | 2,358$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.61 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Stars | 65c | 2,296$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.4 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Stars | 2c | 2,122$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 65c | 2,093$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.45 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Stars | 3c | 2,063$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Canadiens | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Canadiens | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Stars | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Stars | 64c | 1,936$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.23 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Stars | 64c | 1,888$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 61c | 1,859$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 34c | 1,836$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.08 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 48c | 1,767$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 45c | 1,714$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…a1ccbacked Stars | 65c | 1,549$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,542$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.77 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…1281backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,528$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Stars | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Stars | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Canadiens | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.73 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canadiens | 29c | 1,470$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.77 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Stars | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 48c | 1,261$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.27 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,213$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.69 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,188$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.55 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 62c | 1,124$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,055$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.32 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Stars | 47c | 1,020$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Stars | 62c | 1,002$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stars | 63c | 833$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 52c | 815.91$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 62c | 800.01$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Canadiens | 38c | 799.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…ba8fbacked Stars | 64c | 763.58$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Stars | 66c | 686.97$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Stars | 64c | 643.75$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Stars | 60c | 603.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Canadiens | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Stars | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Stars | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 24c | 568.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Stars | 62c | 560$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Stars | 63c | 534.29$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 56c | 532.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Canadiens | 38c | 526.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Canadiens | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Stars | 57c | 524.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Stars | 66c | 504.55$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Stars | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stars | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Canadiens | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Stars | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Starsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.