NFL · resolved market
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e993f42a3ac901cae5eb778af77d946dd51b1887d078970c825e63aec475d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 11c | 1,182$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 16c | 952$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked No | 10c | 875$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Yes | 55c | 809.55$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 13c | 771$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked No | 33c | 672.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 21c | 479$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 79c | 457$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 20c | 446$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 79c | 443.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…1137backed No | 32c | 429.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 14c | 427$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 25c | 413$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 12c | 397$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 11c | 379.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…7177backed No | 7c | 355.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 10c | 343$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 340$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 10c | 322$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 10c | 318$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 29c | 316$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 12c | 309.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 10c | 307$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 12c | 306$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 67c | 300.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 30c | 294$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 77c | 289.41$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 10c | 285$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed No | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed No | 9c | 269$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 11c | 269$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked No | 12c | 267$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 10c | 266$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 10c | 265$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 10c | 262$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 10c | 259$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 10c | 258$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 10c | 256$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…46edbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 11c | 235$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 75c | 233.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked No | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 15c | 229.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 14c | 228$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…992fbacked Yes | 78c | 225.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 22c | 223$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 74c | 208$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 74c | 206$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Yes | 80c | 204$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 23c | 199$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 10c | 197$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 10c | 193$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 71c | 185.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 10c | 184$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…5d53backed Yes | 72c | 181.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…d367backed No | 28c | 181.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 10c | 179$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 26c | 178$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 72c | 167.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 161.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 10c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 74c | 154$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked No | 10c | 143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked No | 14c | 138.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 16c | 136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 11c | 132.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 33c | 132$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed No | 26c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed No | 24c | 122$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked No | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed Yes | 66c | 119.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 23c | 112.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 15c | 104.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 18c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed No | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.