Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc616ebe7198d300ba8427981601d289326ba1b0fa40686ac770d03a78c326ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 4,423$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 31c | 3,188$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.22 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 2,670$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,198$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,822$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,685$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 33c | 1,453$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.23 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 502.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 28c | 497.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 480.94$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 25c | 430.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 359.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 345$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…785abacked Yes | 65c | 184.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 39c | 130.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 130.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 116.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 29c | 116$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 101.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 75c | 93.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked No | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 29c | 84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 72c | 53.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 54c | 26.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 72c | 14.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.