Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AEK win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1961167c1960f2e017e60be4a4cb18926f0a8f20489eb078b2140b7b83c44da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 70c | 49,968$34,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,990.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 9,711$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,786.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,464$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 9c | 1,175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 72c | 993.99$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…17a0backed No | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 833$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.21 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 31c | 685$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 606.47$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 581$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 43c | 456.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes | 46c | 430.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 74c | 406.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 28c | 372.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 361.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.97 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 36c | 360.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 12c | 334.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 316$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 72c | 293.8$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Yes | 72c | 277.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 29c | 227$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e1…682abacked Yes | 47c | 220.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 63c | 179.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 29c | 172.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…1993backed Yes | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 29c | 158.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 152.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 30c | 150.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 69c | 150.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d778backed No | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 69c | 143.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 70c | 142.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 72c | 140.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 131.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 29c | 126.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 33c | 112.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 36c | 111.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 31c | 108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 64c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 34c | 102.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 10c | 101.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…d0f6backed Yes | 69c | 100.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 95.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 12c | 89.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5acebacked Yes | 71c | 74.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 30c | 71.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Yes | 70c | 69.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed No | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 62.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 39c | 58.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…2ac8backed Yes | 68c | 57.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…81f0backed No | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…97aebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…846cbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 48.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…59a4backed No | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 30c | 44.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 38.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AEK vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.