Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664be904a571e9f24b90589f17405ddf9ffff30107ac1ffa591a982bda9998d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 4,025$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 67c | 4,018$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 6c | 2,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,530$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,826$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 68c | 1,139$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 1,100$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.73 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 888.47$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 10c | 735.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…f6d2backed Yes | 76c | 647.39$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 11c | 600.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 11c | 505.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 45c | 442.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 50c | 374.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 323.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 11c | 154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 36c | 142.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 11c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 23c | 111$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 43c | 95.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 20c | 64.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 49.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 53c | 38.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AEK vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?No won
- Will AEK win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.