Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768ff7e17edf3274e48a2e5fb3c71cec932a0b7bc110a34ebeef95c653a59591

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $163,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $161,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	60c	28,803$17,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,603.59	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	51c	12,000$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,119.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes	37c	9,899$3,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,666.59	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	48c	8,324$4,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,315.19	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	49c	8,029$3,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,094.97	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No	48c	7,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	48c	6,014$2,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,123.23	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes	31c	5,600$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.1	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	55c	4,711$2,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,134.92	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	60c	4,685$2,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.9	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes	51c	3,570$1,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,805.7	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	27c	3,000$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	42c	2,891$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.33	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No	50c	2,770$1,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,393.73	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes	54c	2,461$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.94	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No	56c	2,021$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.09	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No	50c	2,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	52c	1,708$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.93	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	31c	1,499$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.6	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	50c	1,477$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.63	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes	39c	1,300$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	52c	1,279$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.54	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	53c	1,204$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.54	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	17c	1,178$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	51c	1,082$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.75	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes	31c	1,065$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes	52c	803.91$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.9	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes	37c	788$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.34	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	50c	773.54$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.77	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes	29c	711.27$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.49	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	47c	700$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No	47c	612.77$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.77	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	53c	608.6$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.91	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes	47c	589.68$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	27c	580.91$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes	52c	526.28$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.79	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No	50c	511.86$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.93	364	62.9%229 W · 135 L	+32.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	50c	438$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.13	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c4…f726backed Yes	36c	435.99$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No	50c	400$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.75	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes	38c	399.62$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No	67c	371.19$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.33	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes	10c	338.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes	35c	322.43$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.85	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	66c	320.16$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.29	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No	47c	299.98$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.99	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed No	50c	290$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.23per pick	51cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	50c	290$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes	35c	288.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	46c	283.84$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.53	285	31.2%89 W · 196 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked No	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	46c	267.38$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes	52c	251.99$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.04	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked No	55c	240$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+85.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	42c	222.5$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.75	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed No	48c	221$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.92	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	52c	220.48$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.91	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	61c	218.25$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.49	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	70.4%50 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	64c	205.91$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.7	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed No	74c	202.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.7	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	61cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd077…b875backed Yes	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Yes	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes	24c	191.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes	42c	190.48$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	47c	181.29$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.09	154	61%94 W · 60 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes	39c	166.67$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes	42c	158.82$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.4	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No	48c	154.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.6	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No	50c	148.03$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.02	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes	43c	139.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…cce7backed Yes	43c	138.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.56	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed No	48c	132$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.64	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes	42c	130$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	47c	126.83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked No	49c	126$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.26	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	24c	125$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes	45c	121.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Yes	51c	117$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	48c	110$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event