Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f08784a58f045d9472aa36ff71c252dbe499edc89dbe9fe5b9cc47e351715b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 27,033$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,749.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 16,501$7,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 5,303$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 63c | 4,398$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,440$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 79c | 1,677$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 1,620$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,440$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 1,278$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 1,190$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,064$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,017$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 21c | 920.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 9c | 736.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Yes | 38c | 734.21$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 31c | 704.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 627.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 600$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.94 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 569.91$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Yes | 5c | 499.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 21c | 481.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 475.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked No | 62c | 470.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 10c | 416.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 409$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 369.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 31c | 313.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 293.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…8ff5backed Yes | 21c | 275.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…29ecbacked Yes | 43c | 208.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 21c | 186.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 16c | 179.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 163.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…a6ccbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 145.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 79c | 124.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…1563backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 21c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 87.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed Yes | 13c | 84.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…e565backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 21c | 66.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 21c | 64.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 43c | 60.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…6c60backed Yes | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 20c | 51.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 21c | 51.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 42c | 49.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 42.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed No | 73c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 42c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.