Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f637e9c3da75cb7964f47bf928ff490081ec7350d9f917e7a6575edd134294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 73c | 266,000$195,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,686 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 111,612$37,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,066.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 27c | 104,932$28,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,017.18 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 74c | 60,562$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,561.93 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 26c | 51,631$13,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,424.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 26c | 30,468$7,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.71 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…64ddbacked Yes | 47c | 14,860$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 14,759$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.41 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 54c | 14,575$7,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,870.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 30c | 8,733$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 8,162$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 53c | 7,973$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.48 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 28c | 7,837$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.24 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 7,459$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.4 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 54c | 6,610$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.26 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 53c | 5,839$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.05 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 53c | 4,552$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.33 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 4,170$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.38 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 29c | 3,400$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.54 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 3,121$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.52 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 71c | 3,019$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 25c | 3,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,739$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.42 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 2,582$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.24 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 50c | 2,356$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 21c | 2,242$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 58c | 1,888$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.3 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 71c | 1,876$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 1,749$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.92 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 26c | 1,623$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 73c | 1,564$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,505$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.7 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 71c | 1,501$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,484$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.48 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,350$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 1,187$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.18 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 51c | 1,093$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 1,015$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.68 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 963$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.18 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 46c | 926.49$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 60c | 833.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 50c | 805.86$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 802.68$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 801.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes | 72c | 747.95$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 31c | 745.57$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 55c | 699.95$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 666$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 47c | 624.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 54c | 589.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 46c | 571.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 46c | 552.37$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 55c | 544.17$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 47c | 542.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 26c | 540.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 64c | 537.58$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 54c | 530$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 46c | 523.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…4323backed Yes | 20c | 507.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +407.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 58c | 501.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 55c | 500.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…078abacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 46c | 480.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.53 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 46c | 386.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 73c | 369.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 4c | 361$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 73c | 345.08$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 54c | 330.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 71c | 327.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 73c | 320.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.