Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eaf78f0b39503790f83f4f49f2d8c50bc437af0ce65138c251af72b947f1fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 8,898$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 4,437$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…078abacked Yes | 8c | 1,428$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 1,380$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 1,025$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 8c | 851.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed Yes | 7c | 644.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 8c | 634.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 620$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 5c | 522$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 9c | 501.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 381.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Yes | 8c | 370.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 19c | 311.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…7940backed Yes | 8c | 265.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 219.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 7c | 194.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 158$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 9c | 144.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 77c | 137.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 137.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…0b24backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 76c | 103.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 25c | 101.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 24c | 97.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked No | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 23c | 90.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 70.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 68.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 23c | 65.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…aecebacked No | 76c | 65.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 24c | 56.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…d326backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…0529backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d6a4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.