TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No26c16,478$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,259.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Yes71c11,229$7,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,920.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No72c4,894$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.413759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c4,626$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.172,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes29c4,067$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.5119549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7259631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes41c2,466$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.13423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No70c1,617$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,583$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c1,539$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c963.58$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.1159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed No48c889.58$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.582944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c667.36$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c572$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.3432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c562.01$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes77c519.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c494$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes46c436.78$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c436.62$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.624971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No50c426$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2138169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c401.4$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7522373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No46c298.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes50c271.82$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.184032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c265.57$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.574656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c254$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No47c253.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9713639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes26c232.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4312565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c199.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No21c181.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.932774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes29c174$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc32f…cb35backed Yes80c159.47$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No46c157.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes78c156.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.923154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No26c155.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.227848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked No28c147$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes56c146.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.272166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No75c127.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.264652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c126.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No26c123.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.127444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c99.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes20c91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c86.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Yes44c82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes51c70.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked No29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes29c64.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb5…440cbacked Yes19c64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.382085%17 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58b…5f34backed Yes28c60.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.514351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed No37c46.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9754…bddabacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes45c44.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…a7ffbacked No71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed No47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes78c41.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes74c40.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Yes72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e3…b595backed No64c34.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked No80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172070%14 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2764…f8d1backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1223353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed No80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes50c26.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed No80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ec…1563backed Yes79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52dd…95ccbacked Yes80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Yes72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed No70c22.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Yes70c21.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5606…676fbacked Yes74c21.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Yes72c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No65c20.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.018952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.