Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7425b93d6352eb92a51b590c75eb0f4f5ad1a9da76f70af3c6f67da71d255ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 21,622$9,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,645.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 54c | 12,476$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,786.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 3,781$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.46 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 3,559$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.37 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 3,360$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,899$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.67 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 44c | 2,781$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 23c | 2,478$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed No | 79c | 2,132$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 2,094$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 58c | 1,948$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.81 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 1,864$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.16 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,625$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.65 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 58c | 1,473$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.58 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 68c | 1,422$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.6 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 72c | 1,392$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 70cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 79c | 1,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 1,220$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.15 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 62c | 1,135$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 1,133$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.49 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,100$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 1,098$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 51c | 1,009$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 56c | 893.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Yes | 22c | 883$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 878.39$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.83 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 868.89$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…627fbacked Yes | 76c | 775.59$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…e375backed Yes | 62c | 757.26$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 741.83$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 42c | 708.59$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.23 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 33c | 691$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 24c | 670.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 661$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.48 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes | 6c | 639.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 627$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 35c | 600$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 577.23$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.78 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 71c | 559.98$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 50c | 413.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 75c | 405.08$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 50c | 403.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 46c | 384.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…424cbacked Yes | 80c | 350.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 339.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 76c | 337.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 305.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 60c | 297.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…7583backed Yes | 48c | 289.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 47c | 273.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 78c | 256.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Yes | 56c | 233.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…e2a3backed Yes | 22c | 232.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed No | 77c | 229.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 224.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 205.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 15c | 202.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…ea56backed Yes | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…31d7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 45c | 190.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed No | 80c | 184.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 181.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 57c | 176.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 42c | 175$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 174.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…d282backed Yes | 23c | 170.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…e6b2backed Yes | 48c | 167.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 60c | 166.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 77c | 159.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed Yes | 25c | 159.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 24c | 156.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Yes | 67c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 74c | 149.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 148.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 72c | 138.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 32c | 137$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed No | 42c | 133.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 52c | 124.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.