Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b5106cf03d24f76d6b06d223e00e1d2d4fabbaa663caac3c48840dc5cd6d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 6,504$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 4,050$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,931$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.3 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 30c | 1,666$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,262$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 1c | 1,236$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 1,026$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…46c5backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 820.87$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 783.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 561.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 513.75$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 444.09$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…0271backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…d02ebacked Yes | 16c | 327.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 315$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 16c | 313.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 308.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 15c | 201.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 184$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 32c | 168.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…88e6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 15c | 90.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 15c | 89.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 31c | 48.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 46.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 32c | 46.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 31c | 42.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 31c | 39.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…4d33backed No | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.