Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d1c855ff4b449fb12335a60ae6742c7ae4e11f59b81f7985956f989f123cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 3,486$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 2,387$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 61c | 2,141$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.56 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 1,273$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,243$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 1,134$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.33 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.26 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 846.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed No | 2c | 844$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 44c | 807.44$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.17 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 10c | 667.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 233.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 44c | 227.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…9077backed No | 9c | 226.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 194.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 191$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 65c | 175.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed No | 58c | 166$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 11c | 154.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 129.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 106.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed No | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…b920backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 42c | 58.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 56.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 35c | 48.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 43c | 47.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…4d33backed Yes | 42c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 43c | 23.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.