TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,405 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes58c45,613$26,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,683.1112736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c21,033$8,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,476.221,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No45c19,773$8,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,933.746055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c7,830$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c5,788$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.7237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c5,327$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.168,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c4,230$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.731,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c3,241$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.072,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No58c2,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.243141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c1,868$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.881,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No60c1,649$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.4929747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No39c1,217$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2223354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No61c1,213$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c1,182$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7316543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No45c1,153$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.129649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c1,106$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c933.29$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.921,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No65c900.08$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.699452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c873.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.811,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c766.45$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.991,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes39c656.76$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.994032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes29c581.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2110922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c537.92$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.53,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c526.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.471,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes20c500.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No62c470.21$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c466.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.851,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No64c402.79$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.928443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes25c399.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes46c325.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c313.3$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.363,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696c…dbe6backed Yes47c299.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes38c292.68$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.761,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes25c291.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No46c285.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7523542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes31c262.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes34c208.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.595026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes34c204$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ec…da55backed Yes56c202.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394613%6 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Yes62c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91f…f2ecbacked Yes29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c7…4aa6backed No45c192.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56a…a946backed No45c187.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x872c…6db0backed Yes63c183.26$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51b…421dbacked Yes56c178.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46e…1567backed No38c162.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c154.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.381,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c135.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6981740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a52…f49ebacked No38c135.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No59c134.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.711,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes28c128.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes24c118.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.498655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes27c117.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8113041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158e…4659backed Yes63c114.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes58c114$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes30c112.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.872548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No55c109.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No44c107.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0221359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c103.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.551,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes59c101.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5639853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.817066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No79c98.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No43c96.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.19759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes67c90.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.597930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c88.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.971,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Yes37c81.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes25c75.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes46c74.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4730841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes42c74.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.893250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed No54c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.333351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Yes50c70.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed No37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.574740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes30c66.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes30c66.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6982…5831backed Yes65c62.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes58c60.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c33…d620backed No48c58.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No67c58.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.078248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked No44c51.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Yes64c50.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+84.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Yes61c49.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x690d…9221backed Yes58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes33c43.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Yes30c42.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…a3b2backed Yes29c41.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.