South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e30af9531135c6c02b767ad752ad4de3cb87a3e720d77be0c839fe1ac3bc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 11,973$8,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.63 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 5,668$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.8 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 4,145$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.85 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 2,464$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 30c | 1,240$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 25c | 1,175$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 1,008$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 965.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 944.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 823.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 22c | 799.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.94 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 40c | 641.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 29c | 621.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 594.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 529.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 31c | 521.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 435.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 425$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…1858backed Yes | 26c | 420.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 352.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 306.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 77c | 297.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 23c | 272.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 246.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…f704backed No | 75c | 163.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 159.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…e766backed No | 75c | 145.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 142.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 133.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 77c | 114.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…e998backed No | 75c | 111.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…b920backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 20c | 99.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 52c | 96.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 27c | 89.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 21c | 89.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 86.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 84.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 37c | 82.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 23c | 80.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 78.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 77c | 60.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 57.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 51c | 55.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 40c | 43.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 38.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 37c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 71c | 32.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.