TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb897…fc48backed Yes18c2,140$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3788229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No70c1,936$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.488058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c1,789$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.998463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes21c1,402$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,394$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,093$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x034d…9a99backed No69c884.06$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.06666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c813.4$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No69c695.65$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.651457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c562.57$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes2c557.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c527$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes30c455$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.53724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c432$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c427.59$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c340$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.420033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3144…25e9backed No69c252.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3968…0c50backed No69c230.43$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.43560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No70c219.03$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.711353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No68c203.13$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes31c198.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.431729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes30c177.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.957248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No69c168.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.393345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed No70c165.71$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb353…a9d8backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes16c160$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes30c134.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.265424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes32c121.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No70c117.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No70c108.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.576100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8584…0436backed No70c105.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cc…84d8backed No70c102.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe928…e0fdbacked No70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No69c100.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.021747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314040%16 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1811667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c90.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes32c80.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No69c75.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.363773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.256439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf59b…3c66backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…1d12backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff27…92babacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No69c59.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52085%17 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes19c59.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Yes27c51.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd73…3cc4backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c5…5898backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c9…5010backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4c…fd13backed Yes30c47.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes23c46.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Yes31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0739…17abbacked Yes26c42.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…ec70backed Yes31c42.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87dc…fc5fbacked Yes31c40.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff7…4ae6backed Yes31c37.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd3…400dbacked Yes31c36.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd2…5e38backed Yes30c35.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…8217backed Yes30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcac4…8734backed Yes31c34.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.824257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9178…865abacked No71c21.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No73c20.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5331958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb3…39b7backed No70c18.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3f…240bbacked No71c18.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbf…9c70backed No71c18.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299a…6114backed No70c18.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…0eedbacked No71c18.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc73…4902backed No70c17.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+137.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1a…b51fbacked No71c17.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf98…88a7backed No71c17.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e90…6353backed No71c16.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.