TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c20,793$9,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,758.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No53c18,152$9,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,620.77938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes46c16,194$7,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,718.8111848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No54c12,960$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,998.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes48c6,621$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4452650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c35…20c0backed No53c4,137$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes47c3,926$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.592650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes47c3,192$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.7512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes48c2,980$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.776431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c2,548$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.541,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes47c2,130$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.792171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c2,027$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c1,740$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.3127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9312649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No4c1,369$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7470%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c1,287$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9322237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes46c1,200$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.9611832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No4c1,064$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes47c818.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.063050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No54c766.3$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c690$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.78957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c660.01$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c622.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No21c617.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.363724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No51c610.88$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes48c600$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3143844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c576.94$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes47c551.78$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.193647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No51c538.62$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7215550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c500.24$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes46c486.34$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.272941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No52c467.76$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c453.57$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8922373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes47c380.85$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.85650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c362$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes48c351.26$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.798659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes73c334.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.082774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes47c332.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.995764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Yes47c325.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.158041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes48c313.92$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.244955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Yes47c272.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No9c269.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes48c260.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.423956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7af9…44dfbacked No27c220$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes47c213.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No30c199.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9233951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed No53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No54c134.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes47c134.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3115253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes47c133.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.893262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes48c127.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3219549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes47c126.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0e…2ff0backed Yes48c123.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes45c102.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.63961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Yes47c102$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.062157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…016dbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No33c96.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…139ebacked No54c94.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c84.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9213553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked No54c83.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54c…a1b3backed Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.786936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes48c74.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No39c74.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.882536%9 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9211546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.