TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No77c13,011$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes23c9,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes16c8,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…c6c3backed Yes23c5,870$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c4,374$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.0327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c4,050$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No78c2,400$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.994459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No77c2,200$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.072774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb960…8c47backed Yes11c2,100$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes22c2,089$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.539631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c1,946$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.0896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c1,589$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c1,483$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes25c1,102$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.569154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes20c1,085$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes7c999.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.948463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes23c983$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.092661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No77c938.46$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9115550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c851.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No77c733.34$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.675658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes4c684.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No77c581.38$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.721353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes11c398.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes24c383.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7590%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes20c279.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a66…ea1abacked Yes9c246.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No77c245.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.586162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes24c232.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No77c227$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c225.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d9e…847dbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8809…6e34backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d0…269ebacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No78c184.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No77c168.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…7a93backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No77c146.94$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.813040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes22c139.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6866…4f2bbacked Yes23c134.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c129.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes23c129.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4623353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x390c…0f1bbacked Yes23c117.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb497…a6c2backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce38…1495backed Yes24c104$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes13c101.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30b2…9e25backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224040%16 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8652…2cc9backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No76c93.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes23c92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b8…ef60backed Yes24c91.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9381…cf19backed Yes23c86.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes24c84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+77.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…39bdbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.69846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c76.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes22c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae9…4d5bbacked No78c74.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Yes22c71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No76c63.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.