Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2313db17c71990511d3e26b24756be204fca2b43c7eb5a7974ca5875fe24f1f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,184,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 53c | 184,618$97,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,597.51 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 20c | 75,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 71,303$33,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,194.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 54c | 31,014$16,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,725.99 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.8 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 46c | 28,047$12,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,144.91 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 54c | 27,348$14,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,768.06 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 64c | 27,000$17,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,820 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 26,126$14,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,107.97 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 45c | 19,999$8,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,084.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 47c | 17,628$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,329.53 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 48c | 16,917$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,796.82 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 16,155$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 16,082$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,508.34 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 49c | 15,462$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.86 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 14,272$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 12,975$6,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.9 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 10,731$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.45 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 10,476$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.95 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 46c | 9,368$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.82 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 37c | 9,263$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 53c | 8,994$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…4950backed No | 61c | 8,877$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 8,350$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 47c | 8,070$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.21 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 41c | 6,958$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.52 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 6,727$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.67 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 5,974$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.03 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked No | 54c | 5,672$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Yes | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 73c | 5,212$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.54 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 46c | 5,042$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.48 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.97 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.95 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 54c | 4,533$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…c70fbacked No | 62c | 4,522$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 4,500$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…16babacked Yes | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…3578backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 62c | 3,999$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 39c | 3,700$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked No | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 53c | 3,521$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.18 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 40c | 3,294$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.13 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 48c | 3,291$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.06 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 47c | 3,275$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.49 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 47c | 3,217$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.24 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 39c | 3,205$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 35c | 3,033$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.26 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 2,944$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.74 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 46c | 2,872$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.74 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 48c | 2,814$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.03 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 45c | 2,750$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 2,661$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.36 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…c5d3backed No | 53c | 2,649$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…dd61backed Yes | 47c | 2,636$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 54c | 2,567$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 53c | 2,503$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.44 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 47c | 2,438$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 55c | 2,243$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 46c | 2,140$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 40c | 2,000$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 47c | 1,730$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 36c | 1,728$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.78 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,725$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.54 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 1,683$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.51 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked No | 21c | 1,624$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 72c | 1,623$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.84 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 38c | 1,553$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.07 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Yes | 46c | 1,530$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,446$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.