Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49af7c5008f413d607cf73b56277c836b50b99811700be9c58d573c0814fad54

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $494,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $509,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,641 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	28c	69,258$19,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,392.22	189	58.7%111 W · 78 L	+12.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	75c	56,933$42,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,348.58	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	72c	54,847$39,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,090.77	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	26c	34,858$9,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,063.12	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	72c	31,759$22,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,832.13	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes	30c	30,115$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	30c	26,989$8,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,067.31	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	27c	21,907$5,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,914.89	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No	72c	20,770$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,770.45	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	29c	19,388$5,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,669.4	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes	29c	14,428$4,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,184	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	70c	13,565$9,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,068.7	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	74c	10,770$7,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,810	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	72c	9,720$7,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,697.42	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	72c	9,560$6,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,676.82	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	77c	8,435$6,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,933.88	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	70c	7,180$5,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,154.1	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	28c	7,000$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.98	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	71c	6,079$4,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,762.77	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	28c	6,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes	27c	4,238$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No	73c	4,202$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.54	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	72cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No	76c	4,043$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.8	107	68.2%73 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4c…37a3backed Yes	26c	4,003$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.71	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	70c	3,875$2,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.79	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No	71c	3,808$2,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.38	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes	29c	3,424$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.97	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25c…6430backed Yes	26c	3,364$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No	74c	3,173$2,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.97	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes	5c	3,137$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.88	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…292ebacked No	70c	3,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes	27c	2,994$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.34	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No	71c	2,926$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.4	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes	9c	2,914$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.06	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes	28c	2,835$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	71c	2,805$1,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.34	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes	27c	2,593$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No	72c	2,458$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.16	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	13c	2,415$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.08	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed No	72c	2,286$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.11	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x176d…d17fbacked Yes	12c	2,268$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	28c	2,250$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.54	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	71c	2,244$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.72	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	72c	2,002$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.64	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.99	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes	29c	1,999$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.58	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes	5c	1,848$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	70c	1,642$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.6	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes	28c	1,511$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.02	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Yes	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No	74c	1,494$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.19	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…77abbacked Yes	3c	1,458$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	38cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd82…6adcbacked Yes	28c	1,442$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes	8c	1,409$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.03	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+7.1wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No	79c	1,366$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.78	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes	29c	1,349$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.21	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes	17c	1,296$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.98	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…c4a3backed Yes	2c	1,269$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No	74c	1,250$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	70c	1,237$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.24	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…b52dbacked Yes	14c	1,103$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes	28c	1,100$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x716c…30b9backed Yes	29c	1,049$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-5.7wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.02	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No	72c	967.96$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.53	86	70.9%61 W · 25 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No	74c	960.81$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.81	294	58.2%171 W · 123 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	11c	927.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes	25c	899.6$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.98	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bd…9980backed Yes	9c	863.67$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes	29c	862.07$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	22c	815.71$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.74	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	73c	784$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.2	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	26c	776.56$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.61	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	28c	757.14$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	9c	756.45$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.23	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes	27c	750$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	186	46.8%87 W · 99 L	+11.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	12c	750$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	70c	743.2$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.96	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	73c	696$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.6	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes	29c	689.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked No	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84a9…c45cbacked Yes	12c	633.19$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+142.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae44…3a83backed Yes	12c	601.51$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	6c	600$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes	30c	597.81$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	72c	584$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.2	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…e7d0backed Yes	20c	573.1$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes	29c	538.28$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.1	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No	71c	538.01$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.34	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event