TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No55c23,618$12,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,946.3898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c23,017$10,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,423.5413933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c16,817$9,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,566.5846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c8,554$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes41c5,366$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes46c5,058$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes49c4,844$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c3,145$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.0328659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes46c1,986$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes46c1,851$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Yes51c1,791$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes19c1,716$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.1522652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes49c1,415$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes51c1,367$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.33250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No55c1,359$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,347$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes47c1,260$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No56c1,143$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.131752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes48c1,038$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.042343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes46c906.89$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.725945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa095…aca5backed Yes48c905.63$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No57c871.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes48c798.9$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes46c752.9$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+104.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes40c752$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c605.63$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes36c562.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.55933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yes33c545.45$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.45837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes48c510.42$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.422035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes41c463.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.861855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Yes43c432.45$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked No53c401.02$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No53c398.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4710160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No6c373.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes78c332.12$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9111063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16519345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Yes48c295.83$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes49c243.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No52c242.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…62febacked Yes46c242.72$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+201.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes43c232.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.918050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes35c230$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes47c208.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes49c201.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.751250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No56c190.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.562479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes47c188.64$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.982250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No49c186.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes39c180.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.833333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes48c168.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…8727backed No62c160.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No53c149.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes37c136.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8413149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No60c135.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.174946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed Yes14c133.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.87425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes38c117.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2111351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b6…ba76backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+120.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.713073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1a…544fbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No52c99.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.031947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked No55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Yes75c89.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e1…35d0backed Yes76c86.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.44852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes19c84.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.971827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes47c74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad1…d674backed No55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No56c72.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes47c72.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.283441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes37c70.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.273259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…d7e3backed No27c69.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes45c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…6823backed Yes46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes46c53.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+90%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes47c51.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.063542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.