Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-12-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e654e2c672c35a5e35f949bf9a79e42e8ae9d3f3a34eb3041ae125e74f8bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 79c | 7,355$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 4,592$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.51 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 77c | 2,584$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 28c | 1,716$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 1,704$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 10c | 1,586$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,573$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 1,494$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 16c | 1,204$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,090$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 598$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 469.95$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 22c | 440.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…2f07backed Yes | 13c | 415$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 77c | 360.61$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed Yes | 28c | 307.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 279.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 24c | 274.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 11c | 243.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 235.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 18c | 179.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 167.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 22c | 161.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 26c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 17c | 131.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 79c | 110.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 13c | 97.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6823backed No | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 26c | 84.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 62.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 77c | 61.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 26c | 48.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 29c | 41.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 40.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 75c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 23.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-12-31?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.