Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1ce419888938eaf80865caff67fbd23618079ccc1685d3cb7c25ca65db27724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x434a…882dbacked Yes | 65c | 47,316$30,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,755.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 35c | 40,718$14,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,271.69 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 38,695$15,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,226.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 19,203$12,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,298.77 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 17,990$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.39 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 15,022$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.01 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 64c | 12,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 35c | 11,859$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.68 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 55c | 6,845$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 66c | 6,076$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.41 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 34c | 6,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.86 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 4,944$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.14 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 4,837$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.19 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 66c | 4,716$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 67c | 4,583$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 4,444$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.72 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 64c | 4,100$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 26c | 3,980$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.36 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…3576backed Yes | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 62c | 3,819$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,530$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 60c | 3,277$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.11 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 35c | 3,081$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.73 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 65c | 3,078$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 3,004$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.62 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 2,720$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.79 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 2,032$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 1,837$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.94 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 33c | 1,700$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,643$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 53c | 1,470$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.1 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 64c | 1,411$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 64c | 1,339$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 59c | 1,307$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.13 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,277$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 59c | 1,128$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 64c | 978.44$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 26c | 972.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 65c | 927.28$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 49c | 876.76$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Yes | 53c | 854.65$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 65c | 809.63$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…cafdbacked Yes | 60c | 786.54$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 66c | 778.59$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.87 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 42c | 764.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 66c | 759.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 35c | 722.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 16c | 651.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 605.16$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.31 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 600$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5989…e1d5backed Yes | 45c | 559.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 66c | 539.66$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 59c | 528.81$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 63c | 509.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…ec0ebacked Yes | 66c | 485.73$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 35c | 466.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes | 65c | 463.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 65c | 462.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 74c | 462$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 51c | 431.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 58c | 422.12$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 35c | 412.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 62c | 403.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 390.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 50c | 376.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 65c | 350.52$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 348$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 56c | 336.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe85…c7dfbacked Yes | 66c | 325.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 61c | 323.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Yes | 63c | 317.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 316.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 59c | 304.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 62c | 291.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 35c | 289.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 32c | 289.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 35c | 277$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 64c | 264.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Comoros win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.