Fifa International · resolved market
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82117d8bfb61234b7597af687ea46d3e0b35b2efe96b0bd2836be969b46b62b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 11c | 9,037$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.07 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 5,030$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 10c | 4,619$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,101$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 12c | 3,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,693$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.14 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 11c | 2,162$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 9c | 2,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 10c | 1,963$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 12c | 1,884$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,483$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,082$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 1,006$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 11c | 986.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…bf79backed Yes | 12c | 909.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 9c | 820.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 10c | 791.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 7c | 777$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 699.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Yes | 10c | 629.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 375.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 348$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 272.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 9c | 266$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 10c | 233.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 10c | 172.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 12c | 168$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 50c | 165.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 149.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…daddbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…e01fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e3acbacked Yes | 12c | 111.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b762backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 12c | 94.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Comoros win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.