South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8187614c18194be06dacfb9ccc2bc31b8453c35ea295c6b56b14cf015983d324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 34c | 2,641$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.25 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 2,232$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 31c | 1,590$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 32c | 1,577$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 6c | 1,400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 849.07$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 825.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 813.46$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.68 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 42c | 574.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 71c | 541.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…d816backed Yes | 79c | 480.43$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 32c | 445.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.26 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 352.26$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 61c | 249.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 20c | 248.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 35c | 211.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…e257backed Yes | 31c | 209.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 64c | 178.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…3a96backed Yes | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 72c | 166.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 65c | 144.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…a99fbacked Yes | 60c | 144.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 58c | 142.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 130.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked No | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 106.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…499dbacked Yes | 31c | 106.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 33c | 104.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 100.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 70c | 99.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…d745backed Yes | 59c | 95.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 13c | 94.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked No | 44c | 92.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 91.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 33c | 90.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 21c | 78.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 69c | 67.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 65.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 54.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…de69backed No | 30c | 51.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 77c | 45.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 33c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Yes | 60c | 41.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 40.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 68c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes | 36c | 34.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 68c | 31.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 65c | 31.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed No | 43c | 30.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 67c | 24.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…b596backed No | 49c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 58c | 22.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 68c | 21.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…3d44backed Yes | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…c3e2backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 57c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 65c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…f2afbacked No | 70c | 17.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 64c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 69c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.