TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7266…a99f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+84%+$73.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.54
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$94.31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.2%+$99.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$131.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$9.86
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.87
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.64
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$128.73
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.3%+$20.37
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+55.5%+$45.17
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+116.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.93
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.3%+$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.