South American Leagues · resolved market
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9cd21009affd07187b72fa23f7b646bcc6833d176269ce99aa04af3961188ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 10,635$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.53 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 73c | 1,210$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.4 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,048$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.18 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Under | 48c | 722.54$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 547.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 407.46$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 68c | 397.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 297.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 201$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 193.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked Under | 40c | 141.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 139.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Under | 45c | 103.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 83.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…da2cbacked Over | 77c | 72.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 60.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…a99fbacked Under | 42c | 47.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 47c | 44.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Over | 26c | 38.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 55c | 25.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 49c | 24.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…09dbbacked Over | 49c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…4aa1backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.