South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd8e67e928975454bb0b8466cd298c2e6da84e14938e12c2e7a14bfba7d4025b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 6,566$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.17 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,609$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.54 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,608$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.36 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 35c | 1,225$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.91 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 1,162$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Yes | 47c | 844.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 816.6$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 588.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 530.67$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 51c | 430$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 363.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 51c | 349.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 78c | 318.89$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 62c | 227.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 39c | 226.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 209$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed No | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 181.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Yes | 64c | 155.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 42c | 149.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…a99fbacked Yes | 58c | 139.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 53c | 130.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 57c | 126$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked No | 28c | 115.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Yes | 64c | 107.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 53c | 91.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 88.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 57c | 87.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 86.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 63c | 84.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 53c | 81.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 54c | 75.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 64c | 62.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 54c | 61.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed No | 49c | 58.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 62c | 55.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 60c | 51.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 61c | 49.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 35c | 40.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 40.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 39.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…775cbacked No | 40c | 32.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…5b6cbacked No | 48c | 32.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 42c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 46c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 62c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…78febacked Yes | 64c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 61c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.