South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21558d4d3208cb4ffb140d2ea7b7243832ea3254d32b9b3322905f130344b8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,545$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,254$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 908.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 853.08$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Yes | 34c | 800$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 399.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 295$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 75c | 287$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 230.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 200.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 199.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 195.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 150.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 71c | 136.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 72c | 130.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…33f4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 68c | 67.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 27c | 57.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 42c | 54.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 52.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…5008backed Yes | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…cb2abacked Yes | 28c | 45.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Yes | 43c | 41.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 38.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 30c | 34.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed No | 59c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…5f20backed No | 74c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a4…5e64backed No | 74c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…22ecbacked No | 74c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…1a1ebacked No | 74c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b713backed No | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked No | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…e1dabacked No | 74c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.