Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689b43d16561cdfbc1680e23e0443e2a03a2f1c76f7bc4cd3f77e8ecb49f77f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QoRof SaD Esports, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed QoR | 46c | 11,864$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375.03 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked SaD Esports | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed SaD Esports | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SaD Esports | 51c | 2,261$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.21 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed SaD Esports | 53c | 2,139$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.67 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed QoR | 48c | 2,027$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.03 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QoR | 62c | 1,258$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.62 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked SaD Esports | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked QoR | 48c | 645$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked QoR | 45c | 608.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.44 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SaD Esports | 37c | 568.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed SaD Esports | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed SaD Esports | 11c | 467$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed SaD Esports | 54c | 399.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed SaD Esports | 37c | 359.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked QoR | 48c | 333.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed SaD Esports | 52c | 331.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked SaD Esports | 52c | 328.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked SaD Esports | 55c | 328.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed QoR | 47c | 297.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked SaD Esports | 51c | 276.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed QoR | 47c | 266.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SaD Esports | 33c | 258.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SaD Esports | 54c | 223$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…4026backed SaD Esports | 55c | 214$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed QoR | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked QoR | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked SaD Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked SaD Esports | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed QoR | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked QoR | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QoR | 64c | 197.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked QoR | 56c | 195$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SaD Esports | 51c | 180.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed SaD Esports | 58c | 172.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed QoR | 55c | 164$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SaD Esports | 52c | 157.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked SaD Esports | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed SaD Esports | 49c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed QoR | 48c | 104.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed SaD Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked SaD Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed QoR | 62c | 97.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed SaD Esports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed QoR | 62c | 85.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked SaD Esports | 36c | 81.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed QoR | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked SaD Esports | 60c | 72.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed SaD Esports | 30c | 71.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…a99fbacked SaD Esports | 61c | 68.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SaD Esports | 36c | 62.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QoR | 63c | 57.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SaD Esports | 41c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked SaD Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed QoR | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked SaD Esports | 38c | 43.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked QoR | 55c | 42.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked SaD Esports | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked SaD Esports | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked SaD Esports | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…02a4backed SaD Esports | 55c | 29.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed SaD Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…dcf8backed SaD Esports | 56c | 26.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…8816backed SaD Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed SaD Esports | 50c | 24.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed SaD Esports | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR - Map 1 WinnerQoR won
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR - Map 2 WinnerQoR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.