CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d34e4767ca757c6392c06070e54e8af426fa7a33a8413e450788f386081880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,140,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,481,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 235,000$140,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,699.98 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 196,314$78,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,610.36 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 66,489$34,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,626.96 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 30,991$13,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,011.76 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 18,447$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.98 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 16,607$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,627.58 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 14,607$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.93 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 14,382$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.88 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 13,864$7,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.64 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 10,516$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,391$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.38 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,093$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…fbcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,001$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 9,677$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.84 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 9,267$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 9,182$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.32 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…e532backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 9,038$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 8,500$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 7,129$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,129$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,050$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,034$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,742$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.3 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,322$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.34 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…ad05backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,273$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,951$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,951$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…a47cbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,728$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,717$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.9 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,615$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.77 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,444$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,647$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.99 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,635$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.29 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…64bcbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,467$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,395$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 3,395$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,393$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.11 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,344$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.37 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,228$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,028$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.97 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,992$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,968$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,876$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.95 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,837$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.95 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…9babbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,705$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 2,625$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.55 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 2,444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,354$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.45 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,352$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.27 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,303$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.67 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,293$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.86 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,126$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,100$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.84 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,002$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.14 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,950$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,949$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,936$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.46 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,930$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.3 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,865$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.13 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…6d26backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,850$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,840$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.4 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…6bc0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,805$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,805$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.11 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…94f4backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,800$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,741$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.19 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,713$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.64 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.84 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,675$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.1 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,672$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…b605backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,670$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,660$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,640$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.58 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,634$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,621$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.68 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4152…0c93backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…2cafbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,582$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.16 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,561$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,553$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,500$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…f963backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,463$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,443$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.53 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,440$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.