CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1424dfedd82c4004ad4c1666fb241ce2d67c9b1a3e41905230d23010199aad34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 23,954$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.6 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,293$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.99 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,262$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.93 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,997$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.92 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,900$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,782$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.91 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 2,656$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.72 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,755$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.45 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,718$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.05 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,406$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,139$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,133$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,041$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 987.72$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…f7abbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 967$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…f441backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 909.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 852.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.79 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 821.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.89 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 818.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 809.44$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 769.84$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 747.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 666$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 597$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.31 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 568.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.62 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 536.01$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 523.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 514.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 509.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 507.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.45 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 505$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 475.12$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 457.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 431.69$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.23 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 421.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 420.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…60a9backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 414.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 390.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 386.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 371.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…c9d0backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 355.94$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 334.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 323.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 305.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 284.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 279.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 253$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 249.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 240.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 230.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 222.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 187.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 184.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 178.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 169.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 165.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 164.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 159.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 151.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 146.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…7bfdbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 144.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 135.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…0ab2backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 119.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 117.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 116$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 115.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 105.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…aa06backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 102.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 98.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 95.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 90.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 84.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 84.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 80.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.