CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fe3fa9b663367162061e76f9f538d8b857ec7c1792631182baba1bb7f5249a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 33,732$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 26,298$9,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,579.51 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 17,108$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,522.17 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 16,471$10,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370.61 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 16,110$10,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.98 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 11,577$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.59 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 9,000$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 7,086$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.87 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 6,627$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…e532backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,539$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,619$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.87 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 3,520$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.95 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,045$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…2becbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,992$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,774$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,620$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.39 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,050$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,872$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,773$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,747$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,600$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,409$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,390$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,371$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,354$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,278$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.25 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,210$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,191$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,129$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,059$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.98 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,027$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,015$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 999.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.98 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 937.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 921.51$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…e28bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 917.74$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 908.73$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.89 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 883.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 811$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.82 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 795$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 706.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 634$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.42 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…60a9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 590$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 583.01$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 580.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 578.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 570.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 540$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 531.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 524.34$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.09 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 519.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 500$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 494.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 475.87$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 449.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7999backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 424.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 419.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 418.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 417.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 415.88$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 401.64$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 384.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…e29abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 364.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 362.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 341.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 339.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 324.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 302.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 298.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 291.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 281.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 268.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 265$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 257.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 254.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 253.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 250.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.