NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251414e69496afa38de1dea0c56f84f81d166cff3fff3f73f081a60617a9ecb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,357,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,577,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,357,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,953 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Hornets | 37c | 405,403$149,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,999.1 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 38c | 322,456$121,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,437.32 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 63c | 185,832$116,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,836.46 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Rockets | 62c | 162,922$101,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,910.35 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Rockets | 63c | 158,358$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,358.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 25c | 134,075$33,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,811.71 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Hornets | 38c | 131,579$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets | 62c | 125,000$77,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,500.01 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 60c | 118,334$71,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,811.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 39c | 113,197$44,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,317.25 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Rockets | 63c | 75,000$47,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,750 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 61c | 61,551$37,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,837.82 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hornets | 57c | 48,660$27,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,951.69 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 38c | 48,029$18,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,382.86 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Rockets | 63c | 43,355$27,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,041.43 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Rockets | 59c | 40,000$23,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,410.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 37c | 39,050$14,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,448.45 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Hornets | 38c | 37,667$14,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,313.28 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 62c | 33,402$20,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,594.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Rockets | 65c | 32,353$20,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Rockets | 59c | 32,310$19,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rockets | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.94 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Hornets | 1c | 29,050$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets | 62c | 28,983$17,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,053.34 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 62c | 26,400$16,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 41c | 22,500$9,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,124.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 38c | 21,300$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 63c | 20,845$13,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rockets | 63c | 19,031$11,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.4 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hornets | 41c | 18,888$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.07 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 62c | 18,686$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.99 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 61c | 18,539$11,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230.03 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 40c | 18,349$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.52 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets | 37c | 16,299$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.81 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Hornets | 38c | 16,100$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Rockets | 62c | 16,100$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Rockets | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Rockets | 63c | 15,116$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.87 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Rockets | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets | 53c | 14,598$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.98 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 63c | 14,294$8,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 44c | 14,023$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Rockets | 57c | 14,018$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.53 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Hornets | 29c | 13,989$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 54c | 13,422$7,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,208.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Rockets | 63c | 13,244$8,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.44 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 29c | 13,201$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…0e33backed Hornets | 38c | 13,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 21c | 12,902$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.23 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Hornets | 44c | 12,733$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.5 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hornets | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.95 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 33c | 11,935$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.84 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 61c | 11,935$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.69 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Rockets | 63c | 11,401$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.74 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hornets | 59c | 11,305$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,653.79 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Rockets | 62c | 11,095$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Hornets | 38c | 11,053$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Hornets | 38c | 10,700$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Rockets | 62c | 10,606$6,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.15 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 61c | 10,411$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Rockets | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Hornets | 38c | 9,869$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.13 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Rockets | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 63c | 9,514$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Rockets | 56c | 9,410$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.23 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Hornets | 37c | 9,379$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.77 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…9d95backed Rockets | 63c | 9,351$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Rockets | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.97 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Hornets | 41c | 8,650$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Rockets | 56c | 8,032$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.98 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 15c | 8,000$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rockets | 62c | 7,994$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.57 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Rockets | 54c | 7,722$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 62c | 7,093$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Rockets | 75c | 7,000$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Rockets | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Hornets | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Hornets | 38c | 6,684$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets | 42c | 6,600$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.96 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Rockets | 61c | 6,465$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.88 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5775…a380backed Rockets | 62c | 6,400$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Hornets | 42c | 6,244$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 57c | 6,175$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hornets | 18c | 6,050$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Hornets | 55c | 5,789$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.11 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rockets | 63c | 5,579$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.03 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 0c | 5,565$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets | 62c | 5,555$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.9 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 38c | 5,500$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 38c | 5,300$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 59c | 5,271$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 62c | 5,260$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Hornets | 58c | 5,141$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets | 38c | 5,100$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Rockets | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets | 62c | 4,844$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.25 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.