NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ceace8617dd6af013abd914705d9e9ffa7623890ba043fc555202fc94c6f47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 51c | 38,649$19,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 25,000$12,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,863.37 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 6,280$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 4,561$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 3,093$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.54 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 50c | 2,654$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 49c | 2,590$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 2,508$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 49c | 2,470$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.3 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 2,347$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.37 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 2,300$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,275$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,026$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 1,803$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.62 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 34c | 1,522$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,201$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 46c | 1,122$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.86 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,076$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 960.28$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.45 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 53c | 924.53$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 53c | 922$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.66 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 763.41$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 687$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 571$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 547.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 46c | 313$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Over | 54c | 311.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 66c | 276$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…dc1abacked Over | 55c | 167.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 149.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 142.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 139.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 40c | 134.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…054cbacked Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 51c | 57.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 60c | 57.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 56.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 47.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 53c | 47.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…8394backed Over | 54c | 45.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 37.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 47c | 37.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 56c | 26.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.