NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59381f74e9f5fd7cd4dddd0458c115632a232cec583e50bc21709408e557cf39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 25,208$13,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,958 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 17,733$7,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 57c | 5,163$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.76 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.27 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 3,382$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,391$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 1,818$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 43c | 1,090$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.3 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 78c | 1,064$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 700$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 621.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 44c | 545$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.2 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 487$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 44c | 251.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…fbe8backed Over | 56c | 251.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 78c | 218.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 57c | 212$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 209.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 158.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 57c | 106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…4502backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 82.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 43c | 75.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 47c | 63.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 48c | 60.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 78c | 51.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 53c | 49.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 46.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 79c | 40.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 53c | 30.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 30.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…f3babacked Over | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.