TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf2…fa7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$53.59
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.2
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Leadership Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.84
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$10.6
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$33.96
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.71
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$21.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$174.45
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.77
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.98
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$36.12
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+32.4%+$134.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$23.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+116.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.