Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f5537577cd518694880113d68c8de6b41cedf1d092a999f8d835285fed7a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 7,436$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 25c | 5,229$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.64 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 11c | 2,836$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.17 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Under | 50c | 2,112$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 52c | 987.75$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 906.46$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…9b6abacked Under | 33c | 756.91$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 27c | 752.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 36c | 674.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 622.01$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.14 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 69c | 590.42$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 38c | 585.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.71 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 4c | 458.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 452.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 38c | 398.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 79c | 335.78$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 32c | 312.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 307.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 53c | 299.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 38c | 261.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Over | 61c | 247.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Over | 52c | 209.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Under | 45c | 177.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 170.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 159.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 51c | 143.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…06a9backed Under | 36c | 136.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 39c | 107.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Under | 48c | 106.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 51c | 46.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Over | 42c | 45.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 56c | 45.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 61c | 39.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Over | 80c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 52c | 30.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 49c | 27.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 58c | 25.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…a511backed Over | 71c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 58c | 18.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.