TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c1,778$703 inWon+$1,075.121,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c1,425$620 inLost-$619.782,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over60c667$400 inLost-$400.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+84%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over60c667$400 inLost-$4003053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over61c328.99$201 inLost-$200.636747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c328.98$171 inLost-$171.075,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over39c200$78 inLost-$782653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Over58c129.09$75 inLost-$74.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Over64c123$79 inLost-$78.72825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under31c40.84$13 inWon+$27.992516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over58c32.25$19 inLost-$18.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Over69c31.88$22 inLost-$229439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Over58c31.25$18 inLost-$18.1360%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Over58c31.25$18 inLost-$18.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.