TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FCof Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, Shanghai Shenhua FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC8c1,352$111 inWon+$1,241.025,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC7c674.72$47 inWon+$627.51,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC4c566.75$23 inWon+$544.0887645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Shanghai Shenhua FC38c300$114 inLost-$113.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC4c298.11$12 inWon+$285.922,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC62c294.49$183 inWon+$111.6110454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Shanghai Shenhua FC20c229.04$45 inLost-$45.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC8c207.28$16 inWon+$191.631,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab4…f8c6backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC79c100$79 inWon+$20.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC21c52.49$11 inLost-$10.871,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC80c24.04$19 inWon+$4.8172044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.