Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62805f9ac01d2ef5fb13220372ff80869c0225c4351922267fb5aef1ad35bd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 68c | 2,421$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 29c | 2,359$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 906.62$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.61 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 751.5$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 668.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 24c | 396.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 298$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 59c | 279.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 57c | 263.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 60c | 233.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…c28fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 28c | 193.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 172.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 60c | 168.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 128.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 123.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 73c | 109.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…334ebacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 59c | 109.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 63c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 28c | 67.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 58c | 59.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 77c | 58.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 58c | 51.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 50.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 36c | 35.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 29.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 58c | 27.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 58c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 59c | 19.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.