TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under67c10,804$7,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,190.719340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c3,939$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.735,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c2,275$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.962,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over62c2,097$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under19c1,953$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.519145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under76c1,943$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.1335947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c1,627$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.331,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under47c1,600$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under73c1,283$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Over64c946.52$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.481656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over54c923.92$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4255740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Over4c700$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd4…1fabbacked Over4c700$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Over4c700$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick3cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over80c639.68$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9427337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under78c609.84$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.682759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Over4c608.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.16616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick3cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over79c589$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.64168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.8wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c556.91$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9413148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over32c545.27$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5128732.8%94 W · 193 L-1.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Under77c539.38$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under15c535.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2530049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under43c507$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.84854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under14c499.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c477$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.441,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c452.77$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.582,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under13c450$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over40c433$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.546642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over75c420.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.73164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under61c375.92$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3326136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c372.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.793535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under45c357.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c348.76$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.621,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c345.23$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4390544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over33c329.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4910039%39 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over32c293.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9136142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over17c281.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.272748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over78c249$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.767050%35 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under18c246.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.315444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c240$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2289339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over62c226.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.133548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under14c199.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9914310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under67c197.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.54035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over34c196.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3537153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over47c185.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.389227.2%25 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over61c164.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.14355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over44c161.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6526348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cb…0c27backed Over63c154.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c146.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0622653.5%121 W · 105 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c141.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.651,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over79c134.69$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3537759.4%224 W · 153 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over49c134.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under44c130.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under31c119.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2759342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under45c111.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.144934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36c…da2fbacked Under45c103.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2b…0643backed Under41c99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49e…3836backed Over59c98.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under73c94.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.292369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over56c89.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6721367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…cbd3backed Under33c88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4711…d44cbacked Over67c88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…7a05backed Over54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8490…423fbacked Under46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over28c81.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.022445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under73c81.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under21c80.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6320838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d13…1e8ebacked Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…118bbacked Under34c77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccd…f017backed Over34c77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa50a…54c0backed Under66c77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x719e…ab05backed Over66c76.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…3f57backed Over50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f0…7314backed Under50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb6…1f31backed Over61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8bd…e02bbacked Under39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…585cbacked Over51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe612…53f6backed Under49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1892…bc18backed Over31c71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+126.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe484…50efbacked Under69c71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfafb…c859backed Under59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f80…7912backed Over41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2097…cc08backed Over56c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0741…b738backed Under44c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c65.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.982,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e90…8ff2backed Over31c62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+124.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d6…2942backed Under69c61.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08e7…d5b3backed Under76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8545052.2%235 W · 215 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf9…5419backed Over24c59.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+179.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.524621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ac…ce70backed Under45c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.