TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under67c5,960$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.1519340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c3,897$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.492,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over42c2,281$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.85955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under38c1,833$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.663633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c1,442$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.575,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over32c1,288$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c1,180$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over31c833.91$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.262,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under54c784.43$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0212639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over52c739.55$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.454768.1%32 W · 15 L+10.5wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c721.52$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.271,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over52c702$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.044663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c697.72$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.71,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under32c691.82$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.623253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over68c658.82$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c611.58$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.441,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over56c556.6$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.466747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over39c510$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.46642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under63c503.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4689245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under80c501.34$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over40c500.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.996341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c449.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.991,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over45c434.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.987037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over41c433$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under74c418.62$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under71c384.86$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.842748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under52c333.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.081,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under47c320.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2920638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c305.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0621652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under35c289.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under56c285.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.524854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over14c262.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.119339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c248.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.251,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c239.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8627037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over58c238.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.099653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over65c214.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.361450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under35c208.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.461,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Over45c204.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c199.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.336454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over63c181.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0572144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over55c176.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under54c176.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Over44c171.64$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under57c160$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.324934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Over66c151.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over51c150.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6526136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c149$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9144152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over56c133.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.937559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed Over49c128.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under34c119.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over54c116.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under20c100.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.963070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658667.4%58 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Under32c94.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c84.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over26c75.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over44c72.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over74c62.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under30c59.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8536352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c57.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1639561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over59c51.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2826348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Over65c50.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over70c50.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Under59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under34c42.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7914744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over54c40.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over69c38.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.215862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c37.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.921,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over65c36.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under55c36.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.423743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over47c35.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6356445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c33.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7337562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over61c30.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under68c30.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.844546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under54c28.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0919354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over53c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.728347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over65c21.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x663c…194cbacked Over49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Over65c20.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.235060%30 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over65c19.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9934847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over67c19.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.