Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724808d3872a2f48cb2af3ece15dfce53c0388602ebdb51fc6f95e23962889f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,528$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.25 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,080$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Yes | 39c | 692.19$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 60c | 530.18$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.11 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 422.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 359.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed No | 64c | 311.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…e870backed Yes | 63c | 149.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 133.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 127.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 122.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 39c | 63.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 37c | 63.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 55c | 57.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 52.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 54c | 49.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 38c | 45.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 61c | 23.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.