TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,288 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,913$5,113 inLost-$5,113.4617753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c8,129$3,692 inWon+$4,436.895,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c2,703$1,288 inWon+$1,414.951,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over76c1,318$1,000 inLost-$1,0008843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over54c999.98$540 inLost-$539.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c876.68$236 inWon+$640.452,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c786.17$224 inWon+$562.212,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over76c660.11$502 inLost-$501.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over70c466.57$327 inLost-$327.414763.8%30 W · 17 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under27c401.37$108 inWon+$293.624254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c310.72$162 inWon+$149.1570652.3%369 W · 337 L+1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c303.08$146 inWon+$157.1437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over66c298$198 inLost-$198.147050%35 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over66c199.98$131 inLost-$131.192951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c132$59 inWon+$72.690544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over55c132$73 inLost-$72.64872.9%35 W · 13 L+10.9wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over52c124.99$65 inLost-$64.928040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over75c120.2$90 inLost-$90.152552%13 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Under25c120$30 inWon+$90683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c90.78$44 inWon+$46.335947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over69c41.52$28 inLost-$28.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Over76c39.49$30 inLost-$29.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over55c28.62$16 inLost-$15.764163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.